What is your proposed M.Sc. Dissertation Title?

What is your proposed M.Sc. Dissertation Title?

Resilience and Risk Management in Global Supply Chains: Analyzing the impacts of pandemics like Russia-Ukraine Conflicts.

Please include a 500-word draft research proposal.

All circumstances that might disable the productive stream of materials in its networks of suppliers, distributors, and consumers are considered supply chain risks. Internal risks are ordinarily less vital when compared to external risks in the supply chain since they are under management control. The managers of the supply chain can hold control such as abundance stock, late conveyances, poor forecast, human mistakes, financial risk, and flaws in data innovation.

On the other hand, External risks cause increased uncertainty, with unanticipated and natural hazards elevating the chances of serious disruptions such as calamities caused by nature like typhoons and seismic tremors, attacks by terrorists and wars, deficiencies of crude materials, industrial action, sickness plagues, irregularities in accounts, and criminality. The Major instances of external risk for the supply chain are the tidal wave within the Indian Sea in 2004, the 1999 Taiwan seismic tremor, the 2010 Icelandic volcanic emission, the 2011 Nuclear accident at Fukushima, the 2013 Tropical storm Sandy and cyclone Phailin, the 2020 Pandemic Covid-19, and the 2022 War between Russia and Ukraine (Waters, 2011).

So, to manage the supply chain risk effectively resilience is crucial for today's changing business environment. According to Brandon-Jones et al. (2014, page 55), and (Christopher and Peck, 2004, page 4), resilience is stated as the ability of a supply chain to return to normal operating performance, within an acceptable period, after being disturbed.

This topic focuses on how the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has disrupted global supply chains. It highlights the importance of managing risks and having control strategies in place. As globalization complicates trade, geopolitical conflicts increasingly impact businesses. Policymakers, supply chain leaders and managers must address these issues to manage risks effectively.

Supply chain risk control (SCRM) has been the subject of enormous research, with students exploring various components of threat identification, assessment, and mitigation strategies (Fan & Stevenson, 2018). However, the literature on managing dangers from geopolitical conflicts and their effect on worldwide supply chains remains quite constrained (Bednarski et al., 2023).

Several research have examined the results of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on industries or regions. For example, Silva et al., (2023) analyzed the impact on global food supply chains and the ensuing food insecurity, at the same time as investigated the disruptions in maritime logistics and port operations (Haessner et al., 2024). However, there's a need for a greater complete and included technique for information and mitigating the consequences of geopolitical disruptions on worldwide delivery chains.

Existing literature on the resilience of the supply chain outlined and distinguished the stages of preparedness, reaction, and recuperation that are closely connected to supply chain resilience against interruptions (HYPERLINK "https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/IJPDLM-05-2013-0128/full/html?skipTracking=true" l "b57" hPonomarov & Holcomb 2009). Later, (Hohenstein et al., 2024) recognized growth as a fourth crucial component for supply chain businesses to achieve both a new and strategic position and hazard and risk recovery by simply returning to normal. Likewise, delivering chain resilience has highlighted the importance of techniques including redundancy, flexibility, and collaboration (Ivanov, 2023). However, the effectiveness of those techniques in the context of geopolitical conflicts and the capability position of rising technology in improving resilience calls for additional investigation.

What are Research Objective(s) and Research Question(s)?

The objective of my research is to analyze the factors that influence international supply chain resilience and efficaciously so as to manage the risks in the face of geopolitical disruptions in Russia-Ukraine warfare.

How do international trade policies, sanctions, and regulatory environments have an impact on delivering chain chance control strategies inside the context of geopolitical conflicts?

How has the Russia-Ukraine war affected global commodity prices, particularly in energy and agricultural markets

What are the subsequent impacts on inflation and economic growth in different regions around the world?

What research methods do you propose to use in your research?

I suggest adopting an open-source, quantitative research methodology in my study with datasets from UN Comtrade, Eurostat, and Our World in Data. This methodology will furnish a sturdy structure for comprehending the principal disturbances in the supply chain, the impact of global trade regulations and penalties, and the wider economic consequences, specifically concerning worldwide commodity costs, inflation, and economic expansion.

Descriptive statistics and regression analysis will be employed to tackle the first research question about the main supply chain disruptions resulting from the Russia-Ukraine conflict and their effects on different sectors and domains. In order to synthesize the data and find early trends in delivery times, expenses, and stock levels both before and during the conflict, descriptive statistics will be useful. Next, regression analysis will be used to measure how these supply chain performance parameters vary in response to geopolitical disruptions. We will be able to distinguish the influence of the conflict from other possible influencing elements with this method, which will provide us witha clear grasp of the direct effects on supply chains in various industries and geographical areas.

For my second research question, Regression analysis will be used to look at how these policies have changed supply chain behaviors and outcomes and evaluate the impact of sanctions and policy changes on supply chain resilience through the examination of trade volume, tariff, and regulatory change data from sources such as UN Comtrade and Eurostat. The policies that have caused the greatest disruption will be determined by this investigation, along with how businesses have modified their risk management plans in reaction to these geopolitical difficulties.

For the third research question, I'll analyze the impact of the Russia-Ukraine war on global commodity prices, especially in energy and agriculture, and its subsequent effects on inflation and economic growth across regions. Using historical price data and economic indicators from Our World in Data, I'll conduct time series analysis. Models like ARIMA will forecast future trends and assess the ripple effects on inflation and economic growth. This analysis will reveal the long-term economic consequences of the conflict and how regions are differently affected based on their reliance on these commodities.

This methodological approach ensures a data-driven and rigorous examination of the multifaceted impacts of geopolitical disruptions on global supply chain resilience and risk management.

What ethical issues may arise during this research? How will you approach these issues?

My research relies on public datasets like Our World in Data, UN Comtrade, Eurostat. These datasets are publicly available and widely used for research purposes, so concerns regarding privacy, confidentiality, and informed consent do not apply. So, ethical issues may be minimal and these datasets are typically publicly available and ethically sourced. However, its essential to remain vigilant about potential ethical considerations. While public datasets usually don't contain personally identifiable information, ensuring data privacy and confidentiality is still important, especially if the datasets include sensitive information about individuals or businesses. As a researcher, it's essential to ensure the responsible and ethical use of data by adhering to best practices in data management, analysis, and reporting. This includes accurately citing the sources of the data, transparently documenting the methods used for analysis, and presenting findings objectively without bias. Proper citing and acknowledging the sources of this data will be ensured to maintain academic integrity in my research proposal. I will provide the link for the open-source datasets:

https://ourworldindata.org/ukraine-warhttps://comtradeplus.un.org/?trk=public_post_main-feed-card-texthttps://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/search/-/search/estatsearchportlet_WAR_estatsearchportlet_INSTANCE_bHVzuvn1SZ8J?text=Ukraine+%26+Russia%3A+source+of+1%2F3+of+EU+cereal+importsIdentify two peer-reviewed studies that are similar/relevant to your proposed research.

1.Waters, D., 2011. Supply chain risk management: vulnerability and resilience in logistics. Kogan Page Publishers.

2.Duong, A.T.B., Pham, T., Truong Quang, H., Hoang, T.G., McDonald, S., Hoang, T.- H. and Pham, H.T. (2024), "Ripple effect of disruptions on performance in supply chains: an empirical study", Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, Vol. 31 No. 13, pp.

1-22. https://doi.org/10.1108/ECAM-10-2022-0924The book explores the intricacies of risk management in supply chains, including methods for locating, evaluating, and reducing vulnerabilities. It provides insights into efficient risk management techniques while highlighting the significance of resilience in responding to shocks. The book is a useful tool for comprehending and overcoming the difficulties associated with modern supply chain management (Waters, 2011).

The paper that I have attached below, delivers an actuating overview of supply chain blockages and the blame game in which literature on supply chain unrest and fallout pertains to my investigation on supply chain resiliency and risk management. The authors identify major impediments, methodology, and future research possibilities in this area which is a treasure trove of knowledge for me in terms of my goal study(Duong et al., 2024).

Provide a list of additional references (if applicable).

Brandon-Jones, E., Squire, B., Autry, C.W., Petersen, K.J., 2014. A contingent resourcebased perspective of supply chain resilience and robustness. J. Supply Chain Manag. 50 (3), 5573.

Silva, B. P. D., Cassel, R. A., Wachs, P., & Saurin, T. A. (2023, May 28). The influence of sustainability on the complexity of food supply chains. Production & Manufacturing Research, 11(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/21693277.2023.2217439

Bednarski, L., Roscoe, S., Blome, C., & Schleper, M. C. (2023, December). Geopolitical disruptions in global supply chains: a state-of-the-art literature review. Production Planning & Control, 127. https://doi.org/10.1080/09537287.2023.2286283

Fan, Y., & Stevenson, M. (2018, January 11). A review of supply chain risk management: definition, theory, and research agenda. International Journal of Physical Distribution & Logistics Management, 48(3), 205230. https://doi.org/10.1108/ijpdlm-01-2017-0043

Ivanov, D. (2023, September 4). Two views of supply chain resilience. International Journal of Production Research, 62(11), 40314045. https://doi.org/10.1080/00207543.2023.2253328

Haessner, P., Haessner, J., & McMurtrey, M. (2024, January 26). Trends & Challenges in the Food Supply Chain. Journal of Strategic Innovation and Sustainability, 19(1). https://doi.org/10.33423/jsis.v19i1.6868Hohenstein, N.-O., HYPERLINK "https://www.emerald.com/insight/search?q=Edda%20Feisel" hFeisel, E., HYPERLINK "https://www.emerald.com/insight/search?q=Evi%20Hartmann" hHartmann, E. and Giunipero, L. (2015), "Research on the phenomenon of supply chain resilience: A systematic review and paths for further investigation", International Journal of Physical Distribution & Logistics Management, Vol. 45 No. 1/2, pp. 90-117. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJPDLM-05-2013-0128Ponomarov, Y.S. and Holcomb, M.C. (2009), Understanding the concept of supply chain resilience, The International Journal of Logistics Management , Vol. 20 No. 1, pp. 124-143.

Literature review and research proposal (10/09/2024-10/10/2024):

In the first week, I'll outline the study's characteristics and goals. The second week will focus on analyzing literature and identifying key themes. Weeks three and four will involve examining the literature's shortcomings and developing research questions. By the fourth week's end, I'll compile a comprehensive study proposal and literature review.

Data collection and preliminary analysis (10/10/2024-24/10/2024):

In September, during the fifth week, I will develop data collection approaches and tools. In the sixth week, I will gather data from sources like industry reports and case studies, and conduct preliminary analysis to identify emerging trends and patterns.

Data analysis (24/10/2024-24/11/2024):

Weeks seven and eight will focus on organizing and cleansing quantitative data. In week nine, I will apply statistical approaches. Week ten will be dedicated to interpreting the results and determining their implications.

Writing and revisions and submission: (24/11/2024-02/01/2025):

I will write up the study results and have a discussion throughout the eleventh week. Revisions and refinements to the manuscript in response to input will then take place in week twelve. Week thirteenth will be the last one, during which I will polish the writing and get ready to submit it.

The Russia-Ukraine conflict has significantly disrupted global supply chains, affecting the movement of goods and services across various sectors. This study aims to assess the resilience of global supply chains to these disruptions and identify effective management strategies to minimize negative impacts.

This investigation will exploit a quantitative technique. The statistical methods, for example, regression analysis is going to be used to first assess the economic impact of supply chain disruptions and then research the effectiveness of various risk management strategies.

The number one realistic artifact of this study could be a comprehensive threat management framework and choice assist device for global delivery chain operations. This framework will comprise methodologies for deliver chain risk assessment, scenario analysis, and contingency planning, permitting corporations to proactively perceive and mitigate potential disruptions resulting from geopolitical conflicts and other outside elements.

The framework will leverage the findings and insights won from quantitative research levels, integrating best practices, records-pushed fashions, and innovative technology. It will include equipment and sources for:

1. Geopolitical risk tracking and early warning structures

3. Scenario planning and strain checking out of supply chain resilience

4. Contingency making plans and danger mitigation strategies

5. Decision support for supply chain reconfiguration and diversification